Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 16.480289 19.202086 22.162566 25.612758 29.513701 33.777857 38.781787
2025-02-16 11.518457 15.157791 19.528175 25.117853 32.027180 40.234775 50.663859
2025-02-23 8.663917 12.595195 17.707443 24.739443 34.042301 45.797056 61.621340
2025-03-02 6.848406 10.851091 16.421580 24.562746 35.946063 51.057601 72.345419
2025-03-09 5.548078 9.505054 15.356840 24.376795 37.605757 55.918912 82.715669
2025-03-16 4.248506 7.877172 13.579101 22.839262 37.060834 57.548212 88.614980
2025-03-23 3.730896 7.383079 13.412685 23.623561 39.886283 64.053310 101.722265
2025-03-30 3.371026 7.081320 13.487660 24.750460 43.274711 71.560543 116.713843
2025-04-06 2.799920 6.286321 12.611085 24.192800 43.911476 74.904265 125.639977
2025-04-13 2.244659 5.406475 11.446024 22.978777 43.315740 76.222796 131.460759
2025-04-20 2.087710 5.297616 11.665744 24.201162 46.870032 84.315904 148.295463
2025-04-27 2.005967 5.332123 12.155301 25.948050 51.441088 94.307436 168.666451
2025-05-04 1.747558 4.946052 11.807723 26.174847 53.500908 100.525547 183.713293
2025-05-11 1.491223 4.513653 11.312032 26.079337 55.010188 105.991486 197.996611
2025-05-18 1.258793 4.082498 10.746913 25.766585 56.068630 110.726639 211.309053
2025-05-25 1.073701 3.726247 10.285471 25.598525 57.363330 115.928779 225.679679
2025-06-01 0.916206 3.403264 9.844083 25.408711 58.576972 121.031584 240.122378
2025-06-08 0.712565 2.881664 8.828503 23.815785 56.806255 120.507152 244.502809
2025-06-15 0.651829 2.789371 8.873126 24.628787 60.040322 129.520000 266.541056
2025-06-22 0.611534 2.754471 9.061755 25.796565 64.106188 140.335969 292.393208
2025-06-29 0.511001 2.477770 8.549698 25.218723 64.369622 143.808087 304.782066
2025-07-06 0.405514 2.142131 7.804735 23.960521 63.010841 143.979635 310.932365
2025-07-13 0.386775 2.142564 8.041694 25.227389 67.413016 155.900488 340.051089